JP Morgan survey: which stock markets will grow this year?

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JP Morgan survey: which stock markets are going to grow this year?

Regarding the monthly variation, JP Morgan pointed out that in January, investor confidence decreased. Perhaps, it was due to the uncertainty created by the shortage of vaccines against Covid-19 and the unknowns surrounding its distribution. However, in February, this indicator increased again. In March it advanced from +1.7 to +4.0, the highest record in the last ten years.

Regarding the evolution of the markets in the next six months, 42.9% of the people surveyed during the first quarter of 2021 by JP Morgan believe it is probable or very probable that the stock markets will evolve positively. Meanwhile, 30.4% think they will remain stable, and 26.7% believe they will fall.

57.1% of those who are optimistic cite the stabilization of the pandemic as the main reason for the rise. Meanwhile, 28% consider that the economic crisis caused by the health situation is beginning to emerge.

However, the pandemic is also the main reason for pessimism for those who think the markets will go down. This is stated by 57.6% of those surveyed, who foresee a drop in the Stock Markets due to the coronavirus. For their part, 37.8% of the pessimists refer to the economic crisis as the main reason.

Change in trend

On the other hand, JP Morgan acknowledges a change in trend in the factors that investors consider when putting their money to work. Now, they take into account the evolution of the stock markets more than the variation in interest rates.

The firm maintains that this change could be due to a more stable activity in the stock exchanges during the beginning of the year.

Optimistic investors are betting on a rise in the markets in the next six months. They declare that they have their eyes mainly on two of them, the Asian and the European stocks. 25.4% of the surveyed believe that the Asian stock markets will benefit the next quarter, while 25.3% bet on the European ones.

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